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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.1, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06, Faceoffs won 0.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, Transition attempts /60 1.25, On-ice PDO 1023.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.920.88
Assists (+1)1.030.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.28
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardGuentzel
4Team record in 8 meetings4
5Points in those games5

Bouchard 2G 3A, 20 SOG · Guentzel 4G 1A, 24 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Bouchard blocked 1 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 1 of Bouchard's.

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

9:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
7–13
35.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
66.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreBouchardGuentzel
2026-03-21EDM 2–5 TBL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-20EDM 1–2 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-25EDM 1–4 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-10EDM 2–1 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-23EDM 7–2 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-26EDM 5–1 PIT1G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-01EDM 5–2 PIT1G 1A 3S1G 0A 7S
2018-10-23EDM 5–6 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Guentzel done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 4–4. Bouchard had 5 points (2 goals) and Guentzel had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →