Who to start · 2025-26
Evan Bouchard vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Bouchard has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Bouchard for 2.5 ESPN points to Carlson's 2.1.
Evan Bouchard has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Bouchard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.065, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06, 20+ mph bursts 77.
Carlson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.96, Top skating speed 22.5, On-ice PDO 1009.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Evan Bouchard
3.14
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bouchard | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.03 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bouchard 6G 16A, 42 SOG · Carlson 0G 18A, 36 SOG
Bouchard blocked 2 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 2 of Bouchard's.
On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)
62:45 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side
- Shot attempts
- 72–57
- 55.8%
- Expected goals
- 4.6–2.6
- 64.4%
- Goals
- 4–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bouchard | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 · PO | EDM 2–5 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-04-28 · PO | EDM 4–1 ANA | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-26 · PO | EDM 3–4 ANA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2026-04-24 · PO | EDM 4–7 ANA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-04-22 · PO | EDM 4–6 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | EDM 4–3 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-03-28 | EDM 4–2 ANA | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6–5 WSH | 3G 3A 8S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-11-19 | EDM 4–7 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2025-02-23 | EDM 3–7 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7–2 WSH | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Evan Bouchard
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.5 pts
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Evan Bouchard or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Evan Bouchard or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bouchard and Carlson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 9–8. Bouchard had 22 points (6 goals) and Carlson had 18 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →