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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Luck Meter +55, Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +1.9.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.50, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

2.55

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardJarvis
Goals (+2)0.510.90
Assists (+1)0.900.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.32
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardJarvis
4Team record in 10 meetings6
8Points in those games3

Bouchard 1G 7A, 21 SOG · Jarvis 1G 2A, 20 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Bouchard blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Bouchard's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

12:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
9–15
37.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
45.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreBouchardJarvis
2026-03-06EDM 3–6 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-15EDM 4–3 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-01EDM 3–1 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-22EDM 2–3 CAR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-06EDM 6–1 CAR0G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22EDM 3–6 CAR0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2022-11-10EDM 2–7 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-10-20EDM 6–4 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-27EDM 1–2 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-11EDM 1–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Jarvis done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 4–6. Bouchard had 8 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →