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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Rodrigues vs Macklin Celebrini

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Evan Rodrigues's 1.11.

Rodrigues had 31 points in 69 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Rodrigues has 1 game left; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Rodrigues's 1.1.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Rodrigues's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.2%, Fenwick 54.3%, Corsi 54.5%.

Celebrini's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +76, Plus/minus +8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Rodrigues

1.11

fantasy points per game

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRodriguesCelebrini
Goals (+2)0.301.03
Assists (+1)0.270.99
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.37
Hits (+0.1)0.100.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rodrigues vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RodriguesCelebrini
2Team record in 4 meetings2
0Points in those games1

Rodrigues 0G 0A, 5 SOG · Celebrini 1G 0A, 14 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other4

Rodrigues's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 3–3 · Rodrigues's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Rodrigues's side)

12:18 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rodrigues's side

Shot attempts
13–6
68.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
62.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Rodrigues and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreRodriguesCelebrini
2026-01-19FLA 1–4 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-08FLA 1–3 SJS0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-25FLA 7–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-07FLA 3–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RodriguesCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Rodrigues

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Rodrigues or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Evan Rodrigues's 1.11. Rodrigues had 31 points in 69 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Rodrigues or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rodrigues and Celebrini done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Rodrigues's team went 2–2. Rodrigues had 0 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rodrigues or Celebrini?
Against each other, Rodrigues has won 3 and Celebrini 4 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →