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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Forsberg vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Forsberg projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Forsberg had 75 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Forsberg has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Forsberg for 2.0 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Filip Forsberg has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Forsberg's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.0, Transition attempts /60 1.98, Luck Meter +42.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Sequence xG 52.5%, Expected goals 52.5%, Faceoffs won 98.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Forsberg

2.16

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Forsberg has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromForsbergBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.910.46
Assists (+1)0.460.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.16
Hits (+0.1)0.150.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Forsberg vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ForsbergBuchnevich
8Team record in 15 meetings7
21Points in those games12

Forsberg 12G 9A, 49 SOG · Buchnevich 6G 6A, 36 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Forsberg blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 0 of Forsberg's.

On the ice against each other (Forsberg's side)

27:44 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Forsberg's side

Shot attempts
35–29
54.7%
Expected goals
2.0–2.4
44.9%
Goals
3–2

Games against each other

Games between Filip Forsberg and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreForsbergBuchnevich
2026-02-02NSH 6–5 STL1G 1A 2S2G 1A 6S
2025-12-27NSH 2–3 STL0G 0A 2S2G 0A 3S
2025-12-15NSH 5–2 STL3G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-11NSH 7–2 STL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-18NSH 1–4 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-27NSH 4–7 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-04NSH 6–3 STL2G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-02-17NSH 5–2 STL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-24NSH 8–3 STL2G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S
2023-01-19NSH 2–5 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-17NSH 3–8 STL0G 1A 8S0G 1A 0S
2019-12-16NSH 5–2 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ForsbergBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Forsberg

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Schedule edge +12.5 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −16.8 win%Likely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Forsberg or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Forsberg projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Forsberg had 75 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Forsberg or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Filip Forsberg leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Forsberg and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Forsberg's team went 8–7. Forsberg had 21 points (12 goals) and Buchnevich had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →