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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Noah Cates

Filip HronekFilip HronekCanucks · DefencevsNoah CatesNoah CatesFlyers · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Noah Cates has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Ascension score 52, Hardest shot 95.6, Transition attempts /60 0.80.

Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Expected goals 53.9%, Sequence xG 53.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekCates
Goals (+2)0.170.39
Assists (+1)0.680.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.16
Hits (+0.1)0.140.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekCates
0Team record in 4 meetings4
0Points in those games4

Hronek 0G 0A, 9 SOG · Cates 2G 2A, 4 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

10:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
8–14
36.4%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
26.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Noah Cates
DateScoreHronekCates
2025-12-30VAN 3–6 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2025-12-22VAN 2–5 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-10-17VAN 0–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-21DET 1–2 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekCates

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Cates done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 0–4. Hronek had 0 points (0 goals) and Cates had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →