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Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Transition attempts /60 0.80, Hardest shot 95.6.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Expected goals 50.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.170.58
Assists (+1)0.680.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.20
Hits (+0.1)0.140.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekO'Reilly
11Team record in 18 meetings7
9Points in those games10

Hronek 2G 7A, 25 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 6A, 35 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other2

Hronek blocked 2 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Hronek's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

21:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
25–25
50.0%
Expected goals
1.3–0.7
64.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreHronekO'Reilly
2026-03-12VAN 4–3 NSH1G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-03VAN 5–4 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-23VAN 1–2 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-29VAN 3–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-17VAN 3–5 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-05-03 · POVAN 1–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-30 · POVAN 1–2 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-28 · POVAN 4–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-26 · POVAN 2–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-23 · POVAN 1–4 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-21 · POVAN 4–2 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-19VAN 5–2 NSH0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 11–7. Hronek had 9 points (2 goals) and O'Reilly had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →