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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 42, Blocked shots 35, Penalty minutes 24.

Connor's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 162, Hardest shot 90.9, Goals above expected +1.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiConnor
Goals (+2)0.691.02
Assists (+1)0.510.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.37
Hits (+0.1)0.020.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiConnor
2Team record in 4 meetings2
2Points in those games6

Vilardi 2G 0A, 7 SOG · Connor 1G 5A, 14 SOG

7Shots blocked by the other1

Vilardi blocked 7 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 1 of Vilardi's.

38Goals set up by the other34

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

683:30 at 5-on-5 over 75 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
638–670
48.8%
Expected goals
35.2–36.1
49.4%
Goals
46–40

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Kyle Connor
DateScoreVilardiConnor
2023-03-25LAK 4–1 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-28LAK 6–5 WPG1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-27LAK 4–6 WPG1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2021-10-28LAK 2–3 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 3A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Connor done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 2–2. Vilardi had 2 points (2 goals) and Connor had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →