Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74.
Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Plus/minus +4, Fenwick 56.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 3G 1A, 11 SOG · Carlsson 4G 0A, 9 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Vilardi's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
9:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–7
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 48.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | WPG 1–4 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-27 | WPG 4–5 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-09 | WPG 1–4 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-02 | WPG 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-18 | WPG 2–3 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-10 | WPG 4–2 ANA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 1–5. Vilardi had 4 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 4 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 1 and Carlsson 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →