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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Vilardi for 1.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, On-ice PDO 1018, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.80, Plus/minus +32, Hardest shot 98.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiEkholm
Goals (+2)0.690.13
Assists (+1)0.510.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.15
Hits (+0.1)0.020.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiEkholm
5Team record in 14 meetings9
8Points in those games5

Vilardi 4G 4A, 20 SOG · Ekholm 0G 5A, 23 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Vilardi blocked 1 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 1 of Vilardi's.

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

16:50 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
15–16
48.4%
Expected goals
0.9–1.1
44.5%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreVilardiEkholm
2026-01-08WPG 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-29WPG 1–3 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-06WPG 2–6 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-20WPG 4–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-09WPG 6–0 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-30WPG 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2023-04-29 · POLAK 4–5 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-25 · POLAK 3–6 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-04-23 · POLAK 4–5 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2023-04-21 · POLAK 3–2 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-19 · POLAK 2–4 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-18LAK 4–3 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vilardi and Ekholm done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 5–9. Vilardi had 8 points (4 goals) and Ekholm had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →