Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Vilardi for 1.3 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, On-ice PDO 1018, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Top skating speed 22.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.77
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 3G 4A, 30 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 4G 5A, 34 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 3–2 · neutral 0–0 · Vilardi's defensive zone 3–1 (2019-20 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
13:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–11
- 35.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.1
- 39.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | WPG 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-29 | WPG 1–3 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-06 | WPG 2–6 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-20 | WPG 4–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-09 | WPG 6–0 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | WPG 1–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | LAK 4–5 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-25 · PO | LAK 3–6 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-23 · PO | LAK 4–5 EDM | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-04-21 · PO | LAK 3–2 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-19 · PO | LAK 2–4 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-09 | LAK 6–3 EDM | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 6–12. Vilardi had 7 points (3 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 9 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or Nugent-Hopkins?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 6 and Nugent-Hopkins 3 of their 9 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →