Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, Ascension score 56.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 55.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Plus/minus +8.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Vilardi 24–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 9G 5A, 33 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 11A, 42 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 8–8 · neutral 5–6 · Vilardi's defensive zone 2–10 (2020-21 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
15:36 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–12
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.4
- 79.2%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | WPG 3–4 NSH | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-29 | WPG 5–2 NSH | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-02-27 | WPG 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5–2 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-30 | WPG 3–0 NSH | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-23 | WPG 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-09 | WPG 4–3 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-31 | LAK 5–1 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-25 | LAK 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-10-23 | LAK 3–7 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-03-17 | LAK 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 11–8. Vilardi had 14 points (9 goals) and O'Reilly had 15 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 15 and O'Reilly 24 of their 39 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →