Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, Penalty minutes 24.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Hardest shot 89.2, Hits 48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Gabriel Vilardi has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 2G 6A, 29 SOG · Toffoli 5G 5A, 24 SOG
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
1:38 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–5
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-07 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-17 | WPG 4–3 SJS | 0G 3A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8–3 SJS | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-20 | LAK 8–2 CGY | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-22 | LAK 4–3 CGY | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-14 | LAK 5–6 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2022-04-04 | LAK 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-31 | LAK 3–2 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Gabriel Vilardi projects to 1.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 6–4. Vilardi had 8 points (2 goals) and Toffoli had 10 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →