Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Barbashev vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Barbashev has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Barbashev's 1.6.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.54, Offensive-zone start % 67.1%, Expected goals 57.3%.

Wilson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 117, Forecheck xG /60 0.51, 20+ mph bursts 162.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarbashevWilson
Goals (+2)0.490.78
Assists (+1)0.530.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.20
Hits (+0.1)0.180.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barbashev vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarbashevWilson
5Team record in 13 meetings8
6Points in those games4

Barbashev 2G 4A, 16 SOG · Wilson 3G 1A, 22 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Barbashev blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Barbashev's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Barbashev's side)

17:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barbashev's side

Shot attempts
14–16
46.7%
Expected goals
0.9–0.8
52.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Barbashev and Tom Wilson
DateScoreBarbashevWilson
2026-03-28VGK 4–5 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-27VGK 2–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-17VGK 2–5 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-15VGK 2–4 WSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-02VGK 4–1 WSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-14VGK 0–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-22STL 5–2 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2022-01-07STL 5–1 WSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2019-10-02STL 2–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-01-14STL 4–1 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-01-03STL 5–2 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2018-04-02STL 2–4 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarbashevWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.6 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Barbashev or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Barbashev or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barbashev and Wilson done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Barbashev's team went 5–8. Barbashev had 6 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →