Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Demidov vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38.

Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Demidov has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Carlson for 2.1 ESPN points to Demidov's 1.5.

John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Demidov's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 155, On-ice PDO 1042, Offensive-zone start % 71.3%.

Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Corsi 54.5%, Fenwick 54.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Demidov

1.38

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDemidovCarlson
Goals (+2)0.430.37
Assists (+1)0.490.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.23
Hits (+0.1)0.040.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Demidov vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DemidovCarlson
1Team record in 8 meetings7
3Points in those games3

Demidov 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Carlson 0G 3A, 14 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Demidov blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 1 of Demidov's.

On the ice against each other (Demidov's side)

11:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Demidov's side

Shot attempts
5–19
20.8%
Expected goals
0.1–1.0
11.0%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Demidov and John Carlson
DateScoreDemidovCarlson
2026-03-15MTL 3–4 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-13MTL 2–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2025-11-20MTL 4–8 WSH0G 1A 0S0G 2A 0S
2025-04-30 · POMTL 1–4 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-27 · POMTL 2–5 WSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-25 · POMTL 6–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-23 · POMTL 1–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-21 · POMTL 2–3 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DemidovCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Demidov

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.5 pts

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.1 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Demidov or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38. Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Demidov or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Demidov and Carlson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Demidov's team went 1–7. Demidov had 3 points (0 goals) and Carlson had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →