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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Demidov vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38.

Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Demidov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Demidov's 1.2.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Demidov's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 155, Hardest shot 90.1, Luck Meter +37.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Corsi 54.5%, High-danger chances 59.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Demidov

1.38

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDemidovMarner
Goals (+2)0.430.52
Assists (+1)0.490.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.21
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Demidov vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DemidovMarner
2Team record in 2 meetings0
0Points in those games1

Demidov 0G 0A, 2 SOG · Marner 0G 1A, 4 SOG

On the ice against each other (Demidov's side)

9:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Demidov's side

Shot attempts
10–17
37.0%
Expected goals
0.5–1.1
30.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Demidov and Mitch Marner
DateScoreDemidovMarner
2026-01-27MTL 3–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-28MTL 4–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DemidovMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Demidov

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Demidov or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38. Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Demidov or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Demidov and Marner done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Demidov's team went 2–0. Demidov had 0 points (0 goals) and Marner had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →