Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Demidov vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38.

Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Demidov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Demidov's 1.2.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Demidov's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1042, Luck Meter +37, Goals above expected +0.5.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, Corsi 56.2%, High-danger chances 59.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Demidov

1.38

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDemidovHertl
Goals (+2)0.430.63
Assists (+1)0.490.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.27
Hits (+0.1)0.040.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Demidov vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DemidovHertl
2Team record in 2 meetings0
0Points in those games0

Demidov 0G 0A, 2 SOG · Hertl 0G 0A, 8 SOG

On the ice against each other (Demidov's side)

4:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Demidov's side

Shot attempts
5–2
71.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
46.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Demidov and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreDemidovHertl
2026-01-27MTL 3–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-28MTL 4–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DemidovHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Demidov

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Demidov or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38. Demidov had 62 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Demidov or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Demidov and Hertl done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Demidov's team went 2–0. Demidov had 0 points (0 goals) and Hertl had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →