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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 145, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.55, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

Marchenko's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1024, Penalty minutes 32, Hits 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.950.63
Assists (+1)0.770.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.29
Hits (+0.1)0.010.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesMarchenko
5Team record in 7 meetings2
11Points in those games5

Hughes 5G 6A, 41 SOG · Marchenko 2G 3A, 20 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Hughes's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Hughes's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Hughes blocked 1 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 0 of Hughes's.

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

7:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
14–7
66.7%
Expected goals
0.9–0.5
63.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreHughesMarchenko
2025-12-31NJD 3–2 CBJ0G 1A 6S0G 1A 5S
2025-10-13NJD 3–2 CBJ0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-19NJD 2–4 CBJ0G 1A 13S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-27NJD 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 8S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-16NJD 6–3 CBJ3G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-24NJD 1–2 CBJ0G 0A 8S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-06NJD 8–1 CBJ2G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Marchenko done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 5–2. Hughes had 11 points (5 goals) and Marchenko had 5 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Marchenko?
Against each other, Hughes has won 1 and Marchenko 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →