Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Jack Hughes

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsJack HughesJack HughesDevils · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hughes had 77 in 61 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Hughes has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.4 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, Penalty minutes 48, Draw Equity /100 +0.029.

Hughes's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 79.3%, Scoring chances 56.0%, High-danger chances 53.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinHughes
Goals (+2)0.920.89
Assists (+1)0.450.82
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.37
Hits (+0.1)0.060.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Larkin and Jack Hughes have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinHughes

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Jack Hughes in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hughes had 77 in 61 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Jack Hughes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →