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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Dylan Larkin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Svechnikov's 2.1.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.4%, Offensive-zone start % 66.4%, Hits 148.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Blocked shots 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.00

fantasy points per game

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovLarkin
Goals (+2)0.780.92
Assists (+1)0.490.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.31
Hits (+0.1)0.190.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Larkin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovLarkin
12Team record in 21 meetings9
13Points in those games13

Svechnikov 6G 7A, 63 SOG · Larkin 5G 8A, 63 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Svechnikov's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Svechnikov's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

2Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

11:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
17–8
68.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
84.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Dylan Larkin
DateScoreSvechnikovLarkin
2026-02-28CAR 5–2 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2026-01-12CAR 3–4 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-27CAR 5–2 DET1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-04CAR 2–1 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-28CAR 4–0 DET0G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-19CAR 4–2 DET1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-13CAR 1–0 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-14CAR 0–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-01CAR 3–4 DET0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2021-04-12CAR 1–3 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2021-04-10CAR 4–5 DET0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2021-03-16CAR 2–4 DET0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovLarkin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Dylan Larkin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Larkin done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 12–9. Svechnikov had 13 points (6 goals) and Larkin had 13 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Svechnikov or Larkin?
Against each other, Svechnikov has won 0 and Larkin 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →