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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 1.97.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Svechnikov has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Svechnikov for 3.9 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 49.3%, Corsi 61.1%, Power-play share 64.4%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 154, On-ice PDO 1036, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

1.97

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.740.44
Assists (+1)0.460.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.14
Hits (+0.1)0.230.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.130.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovSamuelsson
6Team record in 10 meetings4
10Points in those games2

Svechnikov 2G 8A, 21 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 2A, 8 SOG

4Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other3

Svechnikov blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 3 of Svechnikov's.

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

16:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
13–8
61.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.7
41.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreSvechnikovSamuelsson
2026-01-19CAR 2–1 BUF1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-23CAR 1–4 BUF0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-08CAR 6–3 BUF1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-08CAR 0–3 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-27CAR 5–2 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-15CAR 2–4 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-02CAR 6–2 BUF0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-01CAR 5–1 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-07CAR 5–3 BUF0G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-05CAR 2–4 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (2 left)

3.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.8 pts
    vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 1.97. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 6–4. Svechnikov had 10 points (2 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →