Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Connor has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.4 ESPN points to Connor's 2.0.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 145, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Fenwick 55.3%.

Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Hardest shot 90.9, Luck Meter +51.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesConnor
Goals (+2)0.951.02
Assists (+1)0.770.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.37
Hits (+0.1)0.010.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesConnor
3Team record in 9 meetings6
9Points in those games5

Hughes 4G 5A, 35 SOG · Connor 2G 3A, 20 SOG

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

13:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
18–6
75.0%
Expected goals
1.4–0.5
75.0%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Kyle Connor
DateScoreHughesConnor
2026-01-27NJD 3–4 WPG0G 2A 6S0G 2A 2S
2026-01-11NJD 3–4 WPG0G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-21NJD 4–1 WPG2G 0A 10S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-02NJD 1–6 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-02-19NJD 4–2 WPG0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-10NJD 1–2 WPG1G 0A 5S1G 0A 5S
2021-12-03NJD 4–8 WPG1G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2019-11-05NJD 2–1 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-04NJD 4–5 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Connor done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 3–6. Hughes had 9 points (4 goals) and Connor had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →