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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Matthew Schaefer

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Schaefer has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.6 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.1.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Scoring chances 56.0%, Corsi 55.9%.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, On-ice PDO 1010, Penalty minutes 38.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.950.53
Assists (+1)0.770.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.27
Hits (+0.1)0.010.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesSchaefer
0Team record in 3 meetings3
0Points in those games2

Hughes 0G 0A, 15 SOG · Schaefer 0G 2A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

33:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
37–19
66.1%
Expected goals
1.7–0.8
68.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreHughesSchaefer
2026-01-06NJD 0–9 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-23NJD 1–2 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-10NJD 2–3 NYI0G 0A 11S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.6 pts

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.1 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Schaefer done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 0–3. Hughes had 0 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →