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Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Blake has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Ferraro has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Blake for 3.2 ESPN points to Ferraro's 2.6.

Jackson Blake has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Corsi 60.4%, Fenwick 59.0%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Hits 137, Goals above expected +3.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeFerraro
Goals (+2)0.480.29
Assists (+1)0.400.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.13
Hits (+0.1)0.010.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blake vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlakeFerraro
3Team record in 4 meetings1
2Points in those games0

Blake 1G 1A, 9 SOG · Ferraro 0G 0A, 4 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Blake's side)

13:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side

Shot attempts
17–11
60.7%
Expected goals
0.6–0.7
48.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jackson Blake and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreBlakeFerraro
2025-12-07CAR 1–4 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-14CAR 5–1 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-20CAR 3–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-10CAR 3–2 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.4 pts
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Mario Ferraro

2games

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to D
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.5 pts
    Schedule edge −2.9 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jackson Blake leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blake and Ferraro done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 3–1. Blake had 2 points (1 goals) and Ferraro had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →