Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Blake has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Kelly has 1 left. We project Blake for 1.7 ESPN points to Kelly's 1.2.

Jackson Blake has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 76.9%, Transition attempts /60 1.75, Offensive-zone time 47.7%.

Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Goals above expected +8.2, Faceoffs won 69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeKelly
Goals (+2)0.480.61
Assists (+1)0.400.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.13
Hits (+0.1)0.010.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blake vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlakeKelly
2Team record in 4 meetings2
1Points in those games2

Blake 0G 1A, 5 SOG · Kelly 1G 1A, 2 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Blake's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Blake's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Blake's side)

11:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side

Shot attempts
6–7
46.2%
Expected goals
0.1–0.4
14.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jackson Blake and Parker Kelly
DateScoreBlakeKelly
2026-01-03CAR 3–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-23CAR 5–4 COL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-05CAR 5–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-09CAR 4–6 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.2 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jackson Blake leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blake and Kelly done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 2–2. Blake had 1 points (0 goals) and Kelly had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Blake or Kelly?
Against each other, Blake has won 1 and Kelly 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →