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Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Trouba vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jacob TroubaJacob TroubaSharks · DefencevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82.

Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Trouba has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Trouba's biggest edges: Hits 143, Hardest shot 96.5, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1023, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Plus/minus +8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Trouba

1.82

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTroubaO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.230.58
Assists (+1)0.290.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.20
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.890.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Trouba vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TroubaO'Reilly
15Team record in 26 meetings11
14Points in those games28

Trouba 3G 11A, 47 SOG · O'Reilly 11G 17A, 58 SOG

1Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other1

Trouba blocked 3 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Trouba's.

On the ice against each other (Trouba's side)

19:50 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Trouba's side

Shot attempts
14–8
63.6%
Expected goals
0.9–0.6
61.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Trouba and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreTroubaO'Reilly
2026-04-16ANA 5–4 NSH0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2026-04-07ANA 0–5 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S
2025-10-21ANA 5–2 NSH0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-20ANA 4–1 NSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-14ANA 2–1 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-25ANA 5–2 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-02NYR 4–3 NSH1G 0A 2S1G 1A 6S
2023-10-19NYR 1–4 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-05NYR 6–4 STL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-03-10NYR 2–6 STL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2022-03-02NYR 5–3 STL0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TroubaO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Trouba

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Trouba or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jacob Trouba's 1.82. Trouba had 35 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jacob Trouba or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Trouba and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Trouba's team went 15–11. Trouba had 14 points (3 goals) and O'Reilly had 28 (11 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →