Who to start · 2025-26
Jake DeBrusk vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.
DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Carlson has 1 left. We project DeBrusk for 3.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 2.1.
John Carlson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrusk's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 168, Hits 66, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.13.
Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +2.6, Corsi 54.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake DeBrusk
1.42
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrusk | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrusk 6G 7A, 62 SOG · Carlson 6G 16A, 67 SOG
DeBrusk blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 2 of DeBrusk's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)
20:00 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–18
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.9
- 43.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrusk | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | VAN 4–3 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-24 | VAN 3–5 ANA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2026-01-21 | VAN 4–3 WSH | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-10-19 | VAN 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-25 | VAN 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-08 | VAN 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-15 | BOS 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-30 | BOS 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-10 | BOS 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-11 | BOS 5–2 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-12 | BOS 5–2 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-10 | BOS 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake DeBrusk
4games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.5 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.1 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake DeBrusk or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrusk and Carlson done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 16–14. DeBrusk had 13 points (6 goals) and Carlson had 22 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →