Who to start · 2025-26
Jake DeBrusk vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake DeBrusk projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrusk's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.5, Transition attempts /60 1.79, 20+ mph bursts 168.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Sequence xG 52.5%, Expected goals 52.5%, Goals above expected −0.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake DeBrusk
1.42
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake DeBrusk has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrusk | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrusk 5G 7A, 61 SOG · Buchnevich 6G 14A, 54 SOG
DeBrusk blocked 0 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of DeBrusk's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)
13:52 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–23
- 20.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.9
- 14.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrusk | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | VAN 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-30 | VAN 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-13 | VAN 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-20 | VAN 3–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-27 | VAN 5–2 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-10 | VAN 3–4 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-13 | BOS 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-07 | BOS 3–1 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-19 | BOS 3–2 STL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-12 | BOS 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | BOS 4–5 NYR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 3A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake DeBrusk
4games (2 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake DeBrusk projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrusk and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 13–12. DeBrusk had 12 points (5 goals) and Buchnevich had 20 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →