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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake DeBrusk vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.

DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.13, Transition attempts /60 1.79, Top skating speed 23.5.

Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Luck Meter +40, Goals above expected +2.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake DeBrusk

1.42

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBruskWilson
Goals (+2)0.500.78
Assists (+1)0.270.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBruskWilson
14Team record in 27 meetings13
14Points in those games17

DeBrusk 5G 9A, 56 SOG · Wilson 6G 11A, 52 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

DeBrusk's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrusk's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other2

DeBrusk blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 2 of DeBrusk's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)

4:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side

Shot attempts
2–9
18.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
32.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake DeBrusk and Tom Wilson
DateScoreDeBruskWilson
2026-01-21VAN 4–3 WSH0G 2A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-19VAN 4–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-25VAN 2–1 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-08VAN 1–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-15BOS 0–2 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-10BOS 0–3 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-11BOS 5–2 WSH1G 0A 4S1G 0A 6S
2022-04-10BOS 2–4 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-01-20BOS 4–3 WSH1G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-05-23 · POBOS 3–1 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2021-05-21 · POBOS 4–1 WSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-19 · POBOS 3–2 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBruskWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrusk and Wilson done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 14–13. DeBrusk had 14 points (5 goals) and Wilson had 17 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrusk or Wilson?
Against each other, DeBrusk has won 1 and Wilson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →