Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Kirill Marchenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 1.9 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 209, High-danger chances 55.6%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.
Marchenko's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Hardest shot 88.7, 20+ mph bursts 301.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Marchenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 8G 9A, 41 SOG · Marchenko 3G 6A, 28 SOG
Guentzel blocked 2 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 0 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
11:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–12
- 52.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 47.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | TBL 2–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-24 | TBL 5–8 CBJ | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-18 | TBL 2–3 CBJ | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6–2 CBJ | 2G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5–3 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2024-11-21 | TBL 6–7 CBJ | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-07 | CAR 3–0 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-14 | PIT 5–3 CBJ | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | PIT 2–3 CBJ | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-07 | PIT 5–4 CBJ | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-06 | PIT 4–1 CBJ | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Kirill Marchenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Marchenko done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 6–5. Guentzel had 17 points (8 goals) and Marchenko had 9 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →