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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Nick Schmaltz

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schmaltz has 2 left. We project Schmaltz for 3.1 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, Ascension score 53, Transition attempts /60 1.25.

Schmaltz's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.3, Top skating speed 23.2, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.26.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.20

fantasy points per game

Nick Schmaltz

2.05

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelSchmaltz
Goals (+2)0.880.88
Assists (+1)0.580.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.25
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Schmaltz

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelSchmaltz
9Team record in 12 meetings3
16Points in those games11

Guentzel 9G 7A, 40 SOG · Schmaltz 5G 6A, 17 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other4

Guentzel's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 0–3 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

2:52 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
4–3
57.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
90.8%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Nick Schmaltz
DateScoreGuentzelSchmaltz
2026-01-26TBL 2–0 UTA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-02TBL 4–2 UTA1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-27TBL 8–0 UTA2G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-22TBL 4–6 UTA1G 2A 5S1G 2A 2S
2023-12-12PIT 4–2 ARI2G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-08PIT 4–1 ARI2G 0A 6S0G 1A 4S
2022-10-13PIT 6–2 ARI1G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-19PIT 4–1 ARI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-25PIT 6–3 ARI0G 0A 3S2G 1A 2S
2019-12-06PIT 2–0 ARI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2017-11-18PIT 1–2 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2017-10-05PIT 1–10 CHI0G 0A 1S2G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelSchmaltz

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Nick Schmaltz

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Nick Schmaltz in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Nick Schmaltz?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Schmaltz done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 9–3. Guentzel had 16 points (9 goals) and Schmaltz had 11 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Schmaltz?
Against each other, Guentzel has won 1 and Schmaltz 4 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →