Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.6%, Scoring chances 56.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.
Dobson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, Hardest shot 93.5, Top skating speed 22.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.21
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 15G 19A, 95 SOG · Dobson 1G 9A, 50 SOG
Guentzel blocked 3 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 3 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
19:45 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–28
- 31.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.3
- 36.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 · PO | TBL 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-09 | TBL 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-31 | TBL 1–4 MTL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-28 | TBL 5–4 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-12-09 | TBL 6–1 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-01 | TBL 4–1 NYI | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-29 | TBL 5–3 NYI | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | CAR 6–3 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | CAR 2–3 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-25 · PO | CAR 3–2 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | CAR 5–3 NYI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-20 · PO | CAR 3–1 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 35 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Dobson done against each other?
- In 35 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 20–15. Guentzel had 34 points (15 goals) and Dobson had 10 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →