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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Owen Tippett

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tippett has 1 left. We project Tippett for 2.0 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Ascension score 53, Goals above expected +1.6, Offensive-zone start % 63.0%.

Tippett's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.2, Hits 166, Top skating speed 24.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.20

fantasy points per game

Owen Tippett

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelTippett
Goals (+2)0.880.61
Assists (+1)0.580.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Tippett

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelTippett
11Team record in 17 meetings6
12Points in those games7

Guentzel 6G 6A, 46 SOG · Tippett 4G 3A, 53 SOG

1Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Guentzel blocked 0 of Tippett's shots; Tippett blocked 1 of Guentzel's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

15:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
15–8
65.2%
Expected goals
1.3–0.3
82.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Owen Tippett
DateScoreGuentzelTippett
2026-01-12TBL 5–1 PHI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-10TBL 7–2 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-24TBL 3–0 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-17TBL 2–0 PHI1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-13TBL 3–4 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-07TBL 1–2 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-21CAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-01-08PIT 4–1 PHI0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-04PIT 1–2 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-02PIT 3–4 PHI2G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2023-04-02PIT 4–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 8S
2023-03-11PIT 5–1 PHI1G 1A 3S0G 0A 8S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelTippett

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Owen Tippett

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR2.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Owen Tippett in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Owen Tippett?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Tippett done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 11–6. Guentzel had 12 points (6 goals) and Tippett had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →