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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Ryan Leonard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Leonard's 1.59.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Leonard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Leonard for 1.8 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.2%, High-danger chances 55.6%, Corsi 53.3%.

Leonard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.9, Top skating speed 24.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Ryan Leonard

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelLeonard
Goals (+2)0.880.63
Assists (+1)0.580.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Leonard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelLeonard
2Team record in 3 meetings1
4Points in those games0

Guentzel 2G 2A, 4 SOG · Leonard 0G 0A, 4 SOG

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

8:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
7–5
58.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
73.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Ryan Leonard
DateScoreGuentzelLeonard
2025-11-22TBL 5–3 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-08TBL 3–2 WSH1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-14TBL 2–3 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelLeonard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Ryan Leonard

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Ryan Leonard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Leonard's 1.59. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Ryan Leonard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Leonard done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 2–1. Guentzel had 4 points (2 goals) and Leonard had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →