Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.7.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 27 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, On-ice PDO 1023, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.5, Top skating speed 22.8, Offensive-zone time 46.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.33
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 3G 1A, 35 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 2G 4A, 30 SOG
Guentzel blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
5:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–4
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 49.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | TBL 5–2 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-25 | TBL 4–1 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-10 | TBL 1–2 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-23 | PIT 2–7 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-26 | PIT 1–5 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-12-01 | PIT 2–5 EDM | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-20 | PIT 5–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-11-02 | PIT 1–2 EDM | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2019-02-13 | PIT 3–1 EDM | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2018-10-23 | PIT 6–5 EDM | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2017-11-01 | PIT 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2017-10-24 | PIT 2–1 EDM | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.7 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 27 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 7–5. Guentzel had 4 points (3 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 6 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →