Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Vincent Trocheck
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 3.3 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Expected goals 55.2%, Sequence xG 54.9%.
Trocheck's biggest edges: Hits 193, Hardest shot 91.1, Draw Equity /100 +0.084.
Head to head on the dot, Trocheck leads Guentzel 10–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Vincent Trocheck
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.31 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Trocheck
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 10G 10A, 78 SOG · Trocheck 9G 15A, 72 SOG
Guentzel's offensive zone 4–6 · neutral 1–3 · Guentzel's defensive zone 1–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Guentzel blocked 1 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 1 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
6:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–8
- 52.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 45.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | TBL 4–1 NYR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-12 | TBL 3–7 NYR | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-17 | TBL 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-07 | TBL 5–1 NYR | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-28 | TBL 6–2 NYR | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | CAR 3–5 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | CAR 4–1 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | CAR 4–3 NYR | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | CAR 2–3 NYR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | CAR 3–4 NYR | 2G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | CAR 3–4 NYR | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-12 | CAR 0–1 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Vincent Trocheck
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Vincent Trocheck?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Trocheck done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 11–14. Guentzel had 20 points (10 goals) and Trocheck had 24 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Trocheck?
- Against each other, Guentzel has won 6 and Trocheck 10 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →