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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guentzel for 1.9 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Ascension score 53, Plus/minus +13, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.0, Hardest shot 94.3, Goals above expected +5.7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.880.28
Assists (+1)0.580.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.13
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelGavrikov
9Team record in 13 meetings4
14Points in those games1

Guentzel 6G 8A, 50 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 1A, 14 SOG

2Hits on each other4
1Shots blocked by the other1

Guentzel blocked 1 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 1 of Guentzel's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

12:29 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
16–2
88.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
94.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreGuentzelGavrikov
2026-10-01TBL 1–5 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-29TBL 4–1 NYR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-12TBL 3–7 NYR1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-30TBL 3–0 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-01-04TBL 1–2 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-09PIT 4–3 LAK1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06PIT 4–1 CBJ0G 2A 5S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-29PIT 5–3 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-22PIT 5–1 CBJ2G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-27PIT 3–2 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-12PIT 1–0 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-29PIT 2–5 CBJ1G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 9–4. Guentzel had 14 points (6 goals) and Gavrikov had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →