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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs Wyatt Johnston

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Corsi 53.3%, Fenwick 52.1%, Plus/minus +13.

Johnston's biggest edges: Hits 56, Blocked shots 55, Hardest shot 84.9.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Wyatt Johnston

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelJohnston
Goals (+2)0.881.03
Assists (+1)0.580.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.24
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.26
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.35

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Johnston

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentzelJohnston
4Team record in 7 meetings3
4Points in those games2

Guentzel 1G 3A, 20 SOG · Johnston 1G 1A, 15 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other1

Guentzel's offensive zone 3–0 · neutral 0–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)

10:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side

Shot attempts
10–8
55.6%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
81.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Guentzel and Wyatt Johnston
DateScoreGuentzelJohnston
2026-01-18TBL 4–1 DAL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-30TBL 2–1 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-20TBL 3–2 DAL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-23TBL 2–4 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-24PIT 1–4 DAL0G 1A 7S1G 0A 2S
2023-03-23PIT 2–3 DAL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-12PIT 2–1 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelJohnston

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Wyatt Johnston

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Wyatt Johnston?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guentzel and Johnston done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 4–3. Guentzel had 4 points (1 goals) and Johnston had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Johnston?
Against each other, Guentzel has won 3 and Johnston 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →