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Who to start · 2025-26

Jakob Chychrun vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jakob Chychrun projects to 2.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Chychrun had 60 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Chychrun has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Chychrun for 2.4 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Jakob Chychrun has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Chychrun's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.1, Luck Meter +76, Goals above expected +4.8.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Expected goals 52.5%, Sequence xG 52.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jakob Chychrun

2.38

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jakob Chychrun has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromChychrunBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.730.46
Assists (+1)0.460.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.16
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Chychrun vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ChychrunBuchnevich
6Team record in 12 meetings6
9Points in those games9

Chychrun 1G 8A, 31 SOG · Buchnevich 3G 6A, 19 SOG

2Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Chychrun blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Chychrun's.

On the ice against each other (Chychrun's side)

9:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Chychrun's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
42.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jakob Chychrun and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreChychrunBuchnevich
2026-03-24WSH 0–3 STL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-05WSH 6–1 STL0G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27WSH 2–5 STL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 4S
2024-11-09WSH 8–1 STL1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-21OTT 2–5 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-14OTT 2–4 STL0G 2A 3S1G 1A 3S
2021-11-16ARI 3–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2021-10-18ARI 4–7 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2019-10-22ARI 3–2 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2019-01-06ARI 5–0 NYR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2018-12-14ARI 4–3 NYR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2018-01-06ARI 1–2 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ChychrunBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jakob Chychrun

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Jakob Chychrun or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jakob Chychrun projects to 2.38 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Chychrun had 60 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jakob Chychrun or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jakob Chychrun leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Chychrun and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Chychrun's team went 6–6. Chychrun had 9 points (1 goals) and Buchnevich had 9 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →