Who to start · 2025-26
Jared Spurgeon vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jared Spurgeon projects to 1.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Spurgeon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.5, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Hits 82.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Penalty minutes 26, Offensive-zone start % 53.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jared Spurgeon
1.55
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jared Spurgeon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Spurgeon | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.14 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.91 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Spurgeon 4G 8A, 34 SOG · Buchnevich 11G 12A, 55 SOG
Spurgeon blocked 3 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Spurgeon's.
On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)
10:46 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–8
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 25.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Spurgeon | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | MIN 3–6 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | MIN 5–0 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-11-19 | MIN 4–2 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-28 | MIN 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | MIN 5–3 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | MIN 8–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-08 | MIN 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-31 | MIN 5–2 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-05-12 · PO | MIN 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-05-10 · PO | MIN 2–5 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jared Spurgeon
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jared Spurgeon projects to 1.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Spurgeon and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 11–12. Spurgeon had 12 points (4 goals) and Buchnevich had 23 (11 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →