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Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045, Faceoffs won 0.

Wilson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 117, Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Scoring chances 56.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonWilson
Goals (+2)0.140.78
Assists (+1)0.250.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.20
Hits (+0.1)0.100.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.910.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonWilson
6Team record in 11 meetings5
5Points in those games9

Spurgeon 2G 3A, 22 SOG · Wilson 5G 4A, 20 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Spurgeon blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Spurgeon's.

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

8:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
8–12
40.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
43.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and Tom Wilson
DateScoreSpurgeonWilson
2025-12-16MIN 5–0 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-17MIN 1–5 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-03-27MIN 4–2 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-19MIN 5–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2023-01-17MIN 4–2 WSH2G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-03MIN 5–1 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2020-03-01MIN 3–4 WSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2019-03-22MIN 2–1 WSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2018-11-13MIN 2–5 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2018-02-15MIN 2–5 WSH0G 0A 0S2G 1A 3S
2017-11-18MIN 1–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Wilson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 6–5. Spurgeon had 5 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 9 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →