Who to start · 2025-26
Jared Spurgeon vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jared Spurgeon projects to 1.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.
Jared Spurgeon has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Spurgeon's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 22.5.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 53.7%, Luck Meter +14, Transition attempts /60 1.64.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jared Spurgeon
1.55
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jared Spurgeon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Spurgeon | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.14 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.91 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Spurgeon 2G 3A, 34 SOG · Toffoli 7G 6A, 48 SOG
Spurgeon blocked 3 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Spurgeon's.
On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)
17:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–11
- 69.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.6
- 71.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Spurgeon | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | MIN 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5–6 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8–7 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-07 | MIN 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-07 | MIN 0–1 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-04 | MIN 3–0 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-07 | MIN 3–5 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2022-03-01 | MIN 1–5 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-02-26 | MIN 3–7 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2022-01-24 | MIN 8–2 MTL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-02-19 | MIN 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jared Spurgeon
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jared Spurgeon projects to 1.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jared Spurgeon leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Spurgeon and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 9–8. Spurgeon had 5 points (2 goals) and Toffoli had 13 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →