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Who to start · 2025-26

Jason Robertson vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Robertson has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Robertson for 2.7 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

Jason Robertson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Robertson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.5%, Power-play share 81.6%, Power-play time per game 3:51.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.7, Hits 137.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jason Robertson

2.44

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRobertsonFerraro
Goals (+2)1.030.29
Assists (+1)0.580.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.230.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.13
Hits (+0.1)0.050.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Robertson vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RobertsonFerraro
11Team record in 15 meetings4
19Points in those games2

Robertson 10G 9A, 53 SOG · Ferraro 0G 2A, 15 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other4

Robertson blocked 0 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 4 of Robertson's.

On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)

20:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side

Shot attempts
20–18
52.6%
Expected goals
0.8–0.6
57.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jason Robertson and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreRobertsonFerraro
2026-01-10DAL 4–5 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-18DAL 5–3 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-05DAL 4–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-08DAL 8–3 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-20DAL 5–2 SJS1G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-15DAL 3–2 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-26DAL 6–3 SJS2G 0A 8S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-05DAL 7–6 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-02DAL 3–2 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-18DAL 3–5 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-31DAL 5–2 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-11DAL 4–5 SJS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RobertsonFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jason Robertson

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.7 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Jason Robertson or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jason Robertson or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Robertson and Ferraro done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 11–4. Robertson had 19 points (10 goals) and Ferraro had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →