Who to start · 2025-26
Jason Robertson vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Robertson has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Robertson for 2.7 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Robertson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Penalty minutes 32, Ice time per game 20:15.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, 20+ mph bursts 182, Ascension score 52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jason Robertson
2.44
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Robertson | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Robertson vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Robertson 6G 5A, 41 SOG · Ehlers 7G 10A, 56 SOG
On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)
5:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–6
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 53.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Robertson | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | DAL 3–6 CAR | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2025-10-25 | DAL 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-05-17 · PO | DAL 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-15 · PO | DAL 0–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2025-05-13 · PO | DAL 3–1 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-05-11 · PO | DAL 5–2 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-09 · PO | DAL 0–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2025-05-07 · PO | DAL 3–2 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | DAL 0–4 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-14 | DAL 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-09 | DAL 1–4 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-11 | DAL 0–3 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jason Robertson
2games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.7 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jason Robertson or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jason Robertson or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Robertson and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 10–8. Robertson had 11 points (6 goals) and Ehlers had 17 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →