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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Jordan Eberle

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jordan Eberle's 1.74.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Eberle had 55 in 80 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Eberle has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Eberle for 3.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.

John Carlson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 99.8, Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 54.5%.

Eberle's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.029, Hits 55, On-ice PDO 1027.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Jordan Eberle

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonEberle
Goals (+2)0.370.73
Assists (+1)0.610.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.22
Hits (+0.1)0.040.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Eberle

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonEberle
18Team record in 28 meetings10
22Points in those games12

Carlson 6G 16A, 65 SOG · Eberle 6G 6A, 39 SOG

4Shots blocked by the other0

Carlson blocked 4 of Eberle's shots; Eberle blocked 0 of Carlson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

7:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
8–7
53.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
29.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Jordan Eberle
DateScoreCarlsonEberle
2026-01-27WSH 1–5 SEA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-10-21WSH 4–1 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-09WSH 4–2 SEA0G 2A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-14WSH 2–1 SEA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-11WSH 1–4 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-09WSH 4–1 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-01WSH 2–3 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-05WSH 5–2 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-21WSH 2–5 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-04-24WSH 6–3 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-04-22WSH 1–0 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-04-06WSH 0–1 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 28 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonEberle

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Jordan Eberle

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to RWLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to RWLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Jordan Eberle in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jordan Eberle's 1.74. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Eberle had 55 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Jordan Eberle?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Eberle done against each other?
In 28 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 18–10. Carlson had 22 points (6 goals) and Eberle had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →