Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Kiefer Sherwood

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Sherwood had 36 in 72 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sherwood has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sherwood for 1.8 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.

John Carlson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +9, Luck Meter +52, Ascension score 53.

Sherwood's biggest edges: Hits 339, Penalty minutes 50, 20+ mph bursts 104.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Kiefer Sherwood

1.77

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonSherwood
Goals (+2)0.370.60
Assists (+1)0.610.17
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.23
Hits (+0.1)0.040.49
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Sherwood

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonSherwood
2Team record in 6 meetings4
6Points in those games3

Carlson 4G 2A, 13 SOG · Sherwood 1G 2A, 13 SOG

1Hits on each other3

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

14:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
17–14
54.8%
Expected goals
0.9–0.8
51.7%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Kiefer Sherwood
DateScoreCarlsonSherwood
2026-04-09ANA 6–1 SJS3G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-01ANA 3–4 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-19WSH 3–4 VAN1G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2025-01-08WSH 2–1 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-30WSH 2–3 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2018-12-02WSH 5–6 ANA0G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonSherwood

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Kiefer Sherwood

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to LWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Kiefer Sherwood in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Sherwood had 36 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Kiefer Sherwood?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Sherwood done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 2–4. Carlson had 6 points (4 goals) and Sherwood had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →