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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Morgan Geekie

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Geekie's 1.90.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Geekie had 68 in 81 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Geekie has 1 left. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Geekie's 1.4.

Morgan Geekie has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Scoring chances 53.1%, Fenwick 54.3%.

Geekie's biggest edges: Hits 110, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.034, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Morgan Geekie

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonGeekie
Goals (+2)0.370.85
Assists (+1)0.610.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Geekie

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonGeekie
6Team record in 10 meetings4
6Points in those games7

Carlson 2G 4A, 22 SOG · Geekie 1G 6A, 14 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Carlson blocked 1 of Geekie's shots; Geekie blocked 0 of Carlson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

8:33 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
16–9
64.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
82.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Morgan Geekie
DateScoreCarlsonGeekie
2025-10-08WSH 1–3 BOS0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2025-04-01WSH 4–3 BOS0G 1A 7S0G 2A 1S
2024-12-31WSH 3–1 BOS0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-23WSH 1–4 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-15WSH 2–0 BOS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-30WSH 2–3 BOS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-10WSH 3–0 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-09WSH 4–1 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-05WSH 5–2 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-21WSH 2–5 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonGeekie

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Morgan Geekie

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Morgan Geekie in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Geekie's 1.90. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Geekie had 68 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Morgan Geekie?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Geekie leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Geekie done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 6–4. Carlson had 6 points (2 goals) and Geekie had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →