Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Quinton Byfield

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Quinton Byfield's 1.57.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Byfield had 49 in 79 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Byfield has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Byfield's 1.4.

John Carlson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Offensive-zone start % 52.0%, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Byfield's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 297, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.030, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Quinton Byfield

1.57

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonByfield
Goals (+2)0.370.57
Assists (+1)0.610.30
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.23
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Byfield

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonByfield
6Team record in 7 meetings1
5Points in those games2

Carlson 2G 3A, 18 SOG · Byfield 1G 1A, 18 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

9:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
6–12
33.3%
Expected goals
0.4–0.7
34.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Quinton Byfield
DateScoreCarlsonByfield
2025-12-02WSH 3–1 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-17WSH 2–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2025-03-13WSH 0–3 LAK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-22WSH 3–1 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-07WSH 4–3 LAK1G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-29WSH 2–1 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2022-10-22WSH 4–3 LAK1G 1A 8S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonByfield

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Quinton Byfield

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Quinton Byfield in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Quinton Byfield's 1.57. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Byfield had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Quinton Byfield?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Byfield done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 6–1. Carlson had 5 points (2 goals) and Byfield had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →