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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Rasmus Andersson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Andersson's 1.88.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Andersson had 47 in 81 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Andersson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Andersson for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.

John Carlson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Ascension score 53, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Top skating speed 22.5.

Andersson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Penalty minutes 71, 20+ mph bursts 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Rasmus Andersson

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonAndersson
Goals (+2)0.370.37
Assists (+1)0.610.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.22
Hits (+0.1)0.040.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.85

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Andersson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonAndersson
11Team record in 18 meetings7
9Points in those games7

Carlson 3G 6A, 36 SOG · Andersson 0G 7A, 29 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other1

Carlson blocked 3 of Andersson's shots; Andersson blocked 1 of Carlson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

45:42 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
57–32
64.0%
Expected goals
1.9–0.8
70.2%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Rasmus Andersson
DateScoreCarlsonAndersson
2026-05-14 · POANA 1–5 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-05-12 · POANA 2–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-05-10 · POANA 4–3 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-05-08 · POANA 2–6 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-05-06 · POANA 3–1 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-05-04 · POANA 1–3 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-25WSH 1–3 CGY0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-28WSH 3–1 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-03-18WSH 5–2 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-16WSH 3–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-03WSH 2–5 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-25WSH 3–0 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonAndersson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Rasmus Andersson

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Rasmus Andersson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Andersson's 1.88. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Andersson had 47 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Rasmus Andersson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Andersson done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 11–7. Carlson had 9 points (3 goals) and Andersson had 7 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →