Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Sam Reinhart
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Reinhart has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Reinhart for 2.5 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Plus/minus +9, Luck Meter +52.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Hits 59, Shorthanded points 4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Reinhart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 5G 20A, 81 SOG · Reinhart 17G 15A, 99 SOG
Carlson blocked 2 of Reinhart's shots; Reinhart blocked 2 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
19:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–13
- 60.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 51.2%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | WSH 2–5 FLA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-12-29 | WSH 3–5 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-13 | WSH 3–6 FLA | 0G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-22 | WSH 6–3 FLA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-04 | WSH 6–3 FLA | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-11-25 | WSH 4–1 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-24 | WSH 2–3 FLA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-08 | WSH 2–4 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-08 | WSH 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | WSH 2–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 8S |
| 2022-11-15 | WSH 2–5 FLA | 1G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-05-13 · PO | WSH 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 36 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Sam Reinhart?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Reinhart done against each other?
- In 36 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 17–19. Carlson had 25 points (5 goals) and Reinhart had 32 (17 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →